Most criticisms of minimum wage increases focus on its employment effects. Some minimum wage earners will be priced out
of the labor market and find themselves unemployed. But due to the
perverse incentives in our welfare system, some of those who keep their
jobs may find that higher wages result in a loss of Medicaid benefits.
This
means that raising the minimum wage to $10.10 per hour would
substantially increase disincentives to work. Under a $10.10 minimum
wage, any childless adult who takes a full-time, year-round job would
need to give up access to Medicaid.
In the 26 states plus the
District of Columbia that have expanded Medicaid under the ACA, any
nonelderly person whose income is below 138% of the poverty line is
eligible for Medicaid coverage. However, the poverty line differs
according to household size. For a single adult, the Medicaid
eligibility threshold is $16,105. With a wage of $7.25 an hour, this
individual could enroll in Medicaid. However, with a wage of $10.10, he
no longer qualifies.
Over half of minimum wage earners work part time,
but those who work full-time for the current minimum wage of $7.25 an
hour earn about $13,195 per year. Raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an
hour, as President Obama has proposed, would raise their annual income
to $18,382 if they kept their jobs--an increase of $5,187. This would be
a decent deal were it not for the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid
expansion.
Under the minimum wage increase President Obama
proposes, full-time workers with previous wages below $8.53 per hour
would be at risk of losing Medicaid coverage. All these people would
thus be forced to buy insurance through the federal exchanges at a
higher cost. While many would receive subsidies, these phase out as
income rises, which could leave low-income Americans spending hundreds
or even thousands of dollars for exchange coverage.
Before
Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act, Medicaid eligibility
generally applied to certain categories of people, including children,
pregnant women, and people with disabilities. This is still the case in
the 23 states that have not expanded Medicaid. These categorical
eligibility requirements limited work disincentives by making income
level a secondary condition of coverage. Under the ACA, however, income
level is the primary condition for Medicaid eligibility. Moving up the
income ladder increasingly means loss of Medicaid coverage.
In 2012, average per capita spending for able-bodied adults on Medicaid was $4,101. Even though recent evidence from a randomized study
in Oregon suggests that Medicaid coverage has no measurable effect on
physical health outcomes, people do value having Medicaid coverage. The
same study found that Medicaid beneficiaries had a better self-reported
quality of life. This implies that people will take Medicaid coverage
into account when making career choices.
It is an advantage to the
administration that raising the minimum wage would force some people
off Medicaid and on to the health care exchanges. The administration is
actively seeking young people to sign up for insurance through the
exchanges in order to counteract the high healthcare costs of older
enrollees. Singles who earn close to minimum wage are likely to be
younger and healthier than the average enrollee. According to the Bureau
of Labor Statistics, 71 percent of minimum wage earners are below the age of 35.
This
phenomenon highlights one of the central flaws in our welfare
system--our government pays people to work less or not at all. When
income must be lower than a certain threshold to receive benefits such
as Medicaid and food stamps, people face disincentives to work. A person
is much less likely to climb the economic ladder when he has to leave
so many benefits behind.
The Congressional Budget Office projects
that the ACA will reduce labor supply (the amount people choose to
work) by the equivalent of 2 to 2.5 million full-time workers. Part of
this reduction, particularly for childless adults, is due to Medicaid
expansion. A recent NBER working paper
by Laura Dague, Thomas DeLeire, and Lindsey Leininger supports this
projection: the authors estimate that public health insurance reduces
labor supply among its beneficiaries by between 2.4 and 10.6 percentage
points. If 12 million people gain Medicaid coverage under the ACA,
employment could decline by between 288,000 and 1.3 million people.
Public spending on Medicaid exceeds $400 billion a year,
making it the third-largest entitlement program after Social Security
and Medicare. Those costs will only go up when more people enroll in the
program under the ACA. And yet, the program still fails to improve
physical health among its beneficiaries.
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteThe Medicaid threshold for a single adult is actually $177 a week. times 52 and you get just north of 9200 a year. 7.25 an hour full time workers already don't qualify.
ReplyDeleteLouman if you are going to use the Oregon study don't cherry pick it. There is no proof in that study one way or another how the ability to get health coverage from Medicaid only negatively effects outcomes.. There were many positives in that study such as reduced stress, reduced depression and use of preventive services that reduced catastrophic costs.
Are you now claiming that stress and depression are not ailments that cause many other ailments to piggyback on a person. Also the diagnosis of diabetes and the treatment of those needing it increased. Many good things in that study lou that you conveniently left out. And one would presume that we would need to study the other 49 programs to really know if Medicaid makes a difference. There are different things going on in different parts of the country. Some states have high incidence of cancer, others diabetes, others obesity, and a plethora of other diseases. Can't we study them all and get the real answer lou?
2014 POVERTY GUIDELINES FOR THE 48 CONTIGUOUS STATES
DeleteAND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA Persons in family/household Poverty guideline
1 $11,670
http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/14poverty.cfm
Up to 138% for medicaid eligibility for ACA= $16,104
divided by 2080 average full time work= $7.74 an hour.
More liberal nonsense. Might as well form a circular firing squad, the results are always the same.
ReplyDelete